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Nature Aging

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Nature Aging's content profile, based on 60 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.08% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Proteogenomic mapping of multimorbidity identifies C1R linking coronary artery disease and dementia

Li, L.; Tang, Z.; Zhong, Z.; Geng, T.; Guo, Y.; Liao, Y.; Demirkan, A.; Bowden, J.; Bragg, F.; Pan, A.; Sun, X.; Liu, J.; Liu, G.; Liu, J.

2026-07-16 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358022 medRxiv
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Multimorbidity is highly prevalent in ageing populations, yet its shared molecular basis remains poorly defined, limiting the development of therapies that target multiple conditions. We systematically integrated measurements of 1,954 circulating proteins from 54,219 individuals in discovery and 35,559 in replication, focusing on ten common age-related diseases: coronary artery disease, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dementia, heart failure, major depressive disorder, osteoarthritis, Parkinson's disease, stroke, and type 2 diabetes. Coronary artery disease emerged as a central condition in the multimorbidity network, sharing circulating protein signatures with seven other diseases. Through genetic causal-inference analyses, we identified 40 circulating proteins with cross-disease relevance, of which four were further supported by colocalization of genetic variant associations. Among these, complement C1r, encoded by C1R, emerged as a key link between coronary artery disease and dementia, supported by independent colocalization evidence (PP.H4 = 0.86). Phenome-wide association analyses of C1R variants suggested that this signal was not driven by widespread unrelated genetic effects, but instead may reflect a more specific contribution to coronary artery disease-dementia pathogenesis. In vitro experiments further suggested that fibroblast-derived C1R promotes endothelial inflammation and neuronal apoptosis, providing mechanistic plausibility. Together, these findings position C1R as a biologically plausible and therapeutically relevant molecular link between coronary artery disease and dementia.

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Exploration of the molecular origins of sex-specific and temporal comorbidity patterns in dementia: insights from the Austrian claims data

Kovacevic, V.; Basaragin, B.; Kovacevic, J.; Zecevic, A.; Danilo Lombardo, S.; Dervic, E.

2026-07-16 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.07.14.26357961 medRxiv
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Dementia is a progressive condition that impairs cognitive processes such as memory, decision making, and the ability to manage daily activities. Recent estimates suggest that more than half of all dementia cases could be preventable by addressing their risk factors, including disease comorbidities such as diabetes and vision loss. Yet, we lack a comprehensive molecular map of dementia comorbidities. In this work, we analyzed Austrian nationwide hospital claims data, comprising 13 million hospital stays from 2015 to 2019, to systematically assess dementia-related risk across disease comorbidity patterns, covering both their molecular relationships and their epidemiological overrepresentation. We identified disease trajectories occurring before and at the time of dementia diagnosis, revealing both sex-specific and shared comorbidity patterns. Overall, we identified 51 potential risk factors, with a prominent contribution from endocrine and metabolic disorders. While Parkinson's disease emerged as a strong molecularly related driver of dementia, we also identified emerging and previously under chracterized risk factors, including vitamin D deficiency. This integrative framework provides a comprehensive view of dementia associated disease networks and identifies novel, potentially modifiable risk factors. These results offer new opportunities for targeted prevention strategies and advance our understanding of the complex interplay between comorbidities and dementia development.

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Epigenetic Clock Trajectories and Brain Health in Midlife

Boeriu, A. I.; Andrews, S. J.; Hoang, T.; Bae, S.; Yaffe, K. J.

2026-07-18 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358251 medRxiv
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Background: Accelerated biological aging can be assessed with DNA methylation (DNAm)- based epigenetic clocks. Research suggests that greater DNAm is associated with faster cognitive decline and risk of Alzheimer disease (AD) and other dementias. However, most studies have relied on single-time-point measurements of clocks, rather than evaluating dynamic changes over time. We examined the association between 15-year epigenetic aging trajectories and brain health outcomes in midlife. Methods: We analyzed 2,833 middle-aged adults (mean baseline age 40 years, 59% female and 44% Black) with [&ge;]3 DunedinPACE (a recently developed epigenetic clock) measurements, collected over 15 years. Using mixed-effects modeling, we derived individual-specific slopes of epigenetic aging trajectories and categorized participants as Fast Agers (slopes > 1 SD above the mean), Slow Agers (slopes < 1 SD below the mean), or Typical Agers (within &plusmn1 SD of the mean). We examined associations between trajectory group and cognition on five cognitive domains as well as on plasma AD biomarkers (NfL, p-tau217, A{beta}42/A{beta}40), all assessed 15-20 years post-baseline. Models were adjusted for demographics, education, physical activity and APOE*{varepsilon}4 carrier status (with additional adjustments for eGFRcr for biomarker outcomes). Results: Epigenetic aging trajectories were associated with multiple domains of cognition and AD biomarkers (Figure 1). Compared to Typical Agers, Fast Agers showed worse processing speed, memory, executive function, and global cognition (all p<0.05), with no difference in verbal fluency. Slow Agers had better performance on memory and global cognition (both p < 0.05). Fast Agers also exhibited significantly lower A{beta}42/A{beta}40 levels (p = 0.011) compared to Typical agers; no significant associations with p-tau217 or NfL were observed in either group. Conclusion: Middle-aged adults with faster 15-year epigenetic aging trajectories demonstrated worse cognitive performance, whereas those with slower biological aging trajectories exhibited cognitive resilience and more favorable AD biomarker profiles. By examining long-term trajectories rather than single timepoints, these findings identify individuals at differential risk for brain health outcomes.

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Diverging trends in health at older ages in England, 2004-2024: evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing

Wu, J.; Glaser, K.; Price, D.; Di Gessa, G.

2026-07-16 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.13.26357914 medRxiv
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Background. Given uncertainty about whether later-life health at similar ages is improving over time, we examined trends across multiple health domains. Methods. We analysed data from community-dwelling adults aged 50 and older in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing in 2004/05, 2012/13, and 2023/24 (main survey: N=8389, 8549, and 6090, respectively). Outcomes included self-rated health, limiting long-standing illness, pain, mobility limitations, cardiometabolic and chronic conditions, obesity, inflammation, mental health, quality of life and memory. Weighted pooled modified Poisson and linear regressions compared outcomes over time, overall, and by age group and education, with additional adjustment for sex and wealth. Results. Adjusted estimates showed divergent trends. Fair/poor self-rated health increased from 27% to 34%, and any pain from 37% to 47%, whereas mobility impairments declined from 58% to 52%. Self-reported high cholesterol increased from 19% to 39%, while biomarker-defined high cholesterol declined from 78% to 54%; diabetes increased on both measures. Psychiatric problems increased from 6% to 10%, quality of life declined, and memory improved. However, trends differed by age and education, particularly for limiting long-standing illness, mobility limitations, cholesterol biomarkers, and mental health, indicating that aggregate trends masked unevenly distributed changes. Conclusion. Later-life health in England has not improved uniformly. Gains in functioning, biomarkers, and cognition coexist with rising pain and poorer mental health. Trends were also socially and age patterned, producing increasingly multidimensional and socially patterned health outcomes. Multidomain health monitoring is essential for interpreting population health trends and planning healthy ageing, prevention, long-term care, and work policies.

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Social Adversity, Systemic Inflammation, and the Ticking of the Biological Aging Clocks in Men and Women

Higgins Tejera, C.; Noroozi, R.; Walker, K. A.; Rubin, L. H.; Fitzgerald, K. C.

2026-07-21 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.20.26358488 medRxiv
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Objectives: We tested how multi-level socioeconomic disadvantage relates to biological aging and systemic inflammation in women and men from the population-based Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging (CLSA). Methods: We examined cross-sectional data from 8,516 CLSA participants with baseline measures on systemic inflammatory biomarkers (C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, and tumoral necrosis factor-) and biological aging (metabolomic and six DNA methylation [DNAm] age estimates). Plasma samples underwent metabolomic profiling by Metabolon, Inc. Metabolomic age was estimated separately in males and females using sex-stratified models based on age-correlated metabolite levels. DNAm data generated using the Illumina Infinium MethylationEPIC v1.0 array were used to estimate DNAm age across six established models, including Horvath, Hannum, PhenoAge, GrimAge, GrimAge2, and DunedinPACE. We used log-transformed metabolite levels to calculate metabolomic age by sex. We linked education, income, material and social deprivation to biomarkers of systemic inflammation and biological aging stratified by sex using generalized linear models. Multivariable models were adjusted by age, major behavioral risk factors, and chronic conditions. Results: Participants were aged on average of 62.6 years of age, and approximately 50% were females. In multivariable linear adjusted models, we found that in comparison to those earning [&ge;]$100K a year, women earning less <$20K were on average 1.14 (95%CI: 0.46, 1.82) year older with respect to metabolomic age; those earning [&ge;]$20K & <$50K were on average 0.90 (95%CI: 0.26, 1.53) years older; and those earning [&ge;]$50K & <$100K were on average 0.70 (95%CI: 0.05, 1.34) years older. We did not observe this dose response among men. A similar dose-response association was observed for interleukin-6 in both men and women. Discussion: These findings suggest that socioeconomic adversity influences not only inflammatory pathways but also distinct biological aging processes, including metabolomic aging.

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Sex Differences in the Alzheimer's Brain Age Gap: APOE ε4 Plays a Major Role

Rajabli, R.; Soltaninejad, M.; Villeneuve, S.; Collins, D. L.

2026-07-16 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.13.26357678 medRxiv
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INTRODUCTION: Brain age gap (BAG) is the difference between a person's chronological age and the age predicted from the structural appearance of their brain on MRI. A higher BAG indicates an older-appearing brain and provides a global marker of structural brain aging across the Alzheimer's disease continuum. Prior studies suggest that females may show greater Alzheimer's disease-related pathology or faster late-stage neurodegeneration than males. We tested whether sex was associated with baseline BAG or longitudinal BAG change after accounting for APOE {epsilon}4 genetic risk, amyloid positivity, cognitive severity, and disease stage. METHODS: We developed a domain-adaptive deep learning model to estimate BAG from T1-weighted MRIs, training it on 26,512 neurologically healthy UK Biobank data and fine-tuning it on 2,974 amyloid-negative cognitively normal samples from Mayo Clinic Study of Aging and OASIS-3 cohorts. We applied the model to ADNI and used hierarchical mixed-effects models to test whether sex was associated with BAG trajectories after adjusting for Alzheimer's disease risk factors. RESULTS: After adjustment for Alzheimer's disease risk factors, there was no baseline sex differences in BAG. Longitudinally, females showed greater BAG acceleration than males, but this effect was moderated by APOE {epsilon}4 status. APOE {epsilon}4 accelerated brain aging in a dose-dependent manner, independent of amyloid burden. DISCUSSION: Sex differences in BAG across the AD continuum were largely explained by APOE {epsilon}4-related acceleration rather than by an independent effect of sex alone. These findings suggest that females may be more vulnerable to APOE {epsilon}4-associated structural brain aging over time.

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Eligibility for shingles vaccination and hospital-coded dementia in England and Wales: a regression discontinuity analysis in England

Hamilton, F.; Pinot de Moira, A.; Bracher-Smith, M.; Michalik, F.; Chandran, S.; Cattaneo, M. D.; De Magalhaes, L.; Hartwig, F. P.; Arnold, D. T.; Elliott, P.; Geldsetzer, P.; Escott-Price, V.; Davies, B.; Davey Smith, G.

2026-07-21 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.20.26358345 medRxiv
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We used the September 2013 age-based rollout of the live-attenuated shingles vaccine in England as a natural experiment to estimate the effect of vaccine eligibility on shingles and dementia diagnoses in linked hospital records. Individuals born just before and after the eligibility cutoff were compared using regression discontinuity methods, with follow-up for up to eight years after programme introduction. Eligibility was associated with a clear reduction in hospital-coded shingles diagnoses (RD estimate -0.12 percentage points, 95% CI -0.153 to -0.079; p = 5.9 x 10-10), but there was no evidence of a corresponding reduction in hospital-coded dementia diagnoses (RD estimate -0.06 percentage points, 95% CI -0.40 to 0.27; p = 0.72). Results were robust across denominator definitions, diagnostic-code specifications, estimator choice, placebo cutoffs, and negative-control analyses. The dementia estimate was also close to null in an independently conducted analysis using a separately held HES extract. Comparator analyses in Welsh data with linked primary care and death data did not suggest these results were driven by our reliance on hospital data. These findings do not support a detectable intention-to-treat effect of live-attenuated shingles vaccine eligibility on hospital-coded dementia in England.

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Inequalities in Colorectal Cancer Screening: Combining MAIHDA with Difference-in-Differences to Assess Programme Effects Across Population Subgroups

Jolidon, V.; Delaruelle, K.; Kawachi, I.; Cullati, S.; Bell, A.; Holman, D.

2026-07-18 health policy 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358242 medRxiv
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Background: Research consistently shows that colorectal cancer (CRC) screening uptake is socially patterned; however, sociodemographic determinants are usually analysed separately, overlooking how multiple social conditions jointly shape inequalities. This also applies to policy research, where heterogeneity in screening programme effects remains underexplored. Methods: Using data from the European Health Interview Survey (2014 and 2019; n=201,214; 24 countries), we applied Multilevel Analysis of Individual Heterogeneity and Discriminatory Accuracy (MAIHDA) to analyse CRC screening uptake across 72 subgroups defined by sex, education, living arrangement and employment. To assess heterogeneity in screening programme effects, we combined MAIHDA with difference-in-differences (MAIHDA-DiD). Results: MAIHDA revealed inequalities in uptake: lower- and middle-educated men, whether employed or unemployed, had the lowest uptake, whereas men and women not living alone, retired or living with disability, had the highest uptake. Lower-educated homemaker women were the only female group with below-average uptake. MAIHDA-DiD showed that programmes increased overall uptake but did not produce larger gains among groups with lower pre-intervention uptake, and therefore did not reduce inequalities. Instead, programmes generated above-average increases among groups with higher pre-intervention uptake, particularly lower- and middle-educated men and women not living alone and retired. Living arrangement explained more variation in programme effects than other factors, with individuals living alone benefiting less from the programmes. Conclusion: CRC programmes did not reduce (and may have widened) inequalities, underscoring the need for equity-focused strategies in population-based screening. By extending MAIHDA with difference-in-differences, this study introduces a novel approach for evaluating heterogeneous policy effects in public health.

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Longitudinal multiomic network rewiring at the complement coagulation interface in post-acute sequelae of COVID 19 (PASC)

Ward, B.; Belkhir, L.; Balligand, J.-L.; Cani, P. D.; De Greef, J.; Dewulf, J. P.; Gatto, L.; Haufroid, V.; Kabamba, B.; Vertommen, D.; Yombi, J. C.; Elens, L.; Bommer, G.; Bamps, L.

2026-07-16 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358048 medRxiv
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Background. Post acute sequelae of COVID 19 (PASC) is clinically heterogeneous and mechanistically unresolved, and single-analyte studies have struggled to explain it. Methods. We profiled matched plasma proteomics, metabolomics and whole-blood transcriptomics at acute infection and convalescence (mean 86 days later) in a Belgian cohort, using linear mixed models, multiomic gene-set enrichment, and a degree-matched differential-correlation approach to quantify how each node's interactions were rewired between patients who developed PASC and those who recovered; seven axis proteins were additionally quantified by multiplex immunoassay as orthogonal validation. Findings. Single omic testing yielded few FDR significant features, yet multi-omic enrichment showed sustained complement cascade involvement from acute illness to follow-up in PASC. Correlation networks re-organised topologically toward C3 and lost the immunoglobulin V gene coexpression seen in recovery. The most rewired nodes, heparin cofactor II (SERPIND1), alpha 1 antitrypsin (SERPINA1), complement factor H related 5 (CFHR5), prothrombin/thrombin (F2) and immunoglobulin V gene transcripts (notably IGLV3 21), changed in their co-expression structure rather than in abundance. In multiplex validation, acute CRP was elevated in patients who developed PASC (FDR = 0.012), whereas the directly measured abundances of the network-nominated proteins were unchanged. Interpretation. These trajectory aware, cross omic networks nominate a thrombo inflammatory axis in which complement and coagulation regulation remain dysregulated in PASC at the level of wiring rather than abundance, providing a systems framework for validation and for exploring interventions at the complement coagulation platelet interface.

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Shared genetic and molecular architecture between insulin resistance and cognitive performance

Martone, A.; Roth Mota, N.; Sakic, B.; Klein, M.; Franke, B.; Fanelli, G.; Bralten, J.

2026-07-16 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358124 medRxiv
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Insulin signalling contributes to neurodevelopment and brain function, and insulin resistance (IR)-related traits are associated with cognitive performance. However, the genetic architecture shared across specific cognitive domains and IR-related phenotypes remains insufficiently defined. We analysed large-scale genome-wide association study summary statistics for 11 IR-related traits (N=53,334-933,970) and 10 cognitive measures (N=28,156-436,853) to quantify global and local genetic correlations, fine-map shared association signals, and annotate implicated genes and drug-gene interactions. Pairwise global and local genetic correlations were estimated, and shared high-confidence variants were prioritised using the multivariate Sum of Single Effects model. Positional and expression quantitative trait locus mapping was performed, and implicated genes were examined through functional annotation, tissue enrichment, and drug-gene interaction analyses. Low-to-moderate genetic correlations were observed between six IR-related traits and seven cognitive measures (|rg|=0.08-0.34), with predominantly opposite directions, except for correlations involving visual declarative short-term memory. Local genetic correlations showed mixed effect directions across most trait pairs, and multivariate fine-mapping prioritised 696 shared likely causal variants with high posterior support. Gene annotation indicated enrichment in several pathways, including immune-related, signal transduction, neurogenesis, neurotransmitter metabolism, receptor regulation, and lipid and cholesterol metabolism regulation. Implicated genes were expressed across various brain regions and showed prior associations with neuropsychiatric and cardiometabolic conditions. Several drug-gene interactions were identified, involving immunomodulatory and anti-inflammatory compounds. These findings indicate widespread heterogeneous genetic overlap between IR-related traits, particularly body mass index and waist-to-hip ratio, and cognitive measures of general intelligence, processing speed, and short-term visual declarative memory. The findings prioritise apolipoprotein-related lipid transport and inflammatory and oxidative stress pathways as candidate mechanisms linking cognitive, cardiometabolic, and neuropsychiatric phenotypes.

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Death in People with Down syndrome: Mortality statistics and novel predictors in US Medicaid and Medicare enrolled adults.

Tewolde, S.; Rosellini, A. J.; Michals, A.; Skotko, B. G.; Fortea, J.; Khor, B.; Handelman, S.; Rubenstein, E.

2026-07-20 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.17.26358090 medRxiv
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People with Down syndrome have higher age-specific mortality rates compared to the general population as well as peers with other intellectual and developmental disabilities. While a large proportion of mortality is attributable to Alzheimers disease, many die prior to Alzheimers diagnosis and some live to old ages, dying without Alzheimers. Our objectives were to use 11 years of Medicaid and Medicare data to describe characteristics and factors related to death in adults with Down syndrome and use machine learning to identify which conditions most strongly predict death in the full population and stratified by age. We identified death using Center for Medicare and Medicaid Systems reported date of death health conditions using ICD 9 and 10 codes. We used a case-control design with risk set sampling to have that controls to mimic the distribution of times of incident Alzheimers disease. We trained gradient boosted trees to identify strongest predictors. Our cohort included 137,293 adults with Down syndrome. Among those, 30,894 (22.5%) died during the study period. Mean age at death among those who died was 55 years (SD=10). Mean age of death in those with Alzheimers disease was 59 (SD=7) and those without was 52 (SD=12). The most influential predictors of mortality were any claim for dementia, any claim for pneumonia, re-occurring claim for cardiovascular disease three years before index death, and any claim for heart failure and epilepsy. Our results align with previous clinical work and highlight intervenable areas to reduce mortality in the Down syndrome population.

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PARIS (Pneumonia: Acute Respiratory Infection +/- Sepsis): a prospective single-centre observational cohort study of hospitalised patients with pneumonia

Nasser, S. T.; Piercy, C. R.; Falinska, A.; O'Sullivan, D. M.; Devonshire, A.; Martinez-Estrada, F.; Huggett, J.; Creagh-Brown, B. C.

2026-07-17 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357955 medRxiv
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Introduction Hospitalised community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is heterogeneous in aetiology, severity, and outcome. Phenotyping and endotyping approaches offer potential to stratify patients biologically and guide targeted therapy, but require well-characterised cohorts with linked biosamples. We describe the PARIS (Pneumonia: Acute Respiratory Infection +/- Sepsis) study: a prospective observational cohort of hospitalised patients with pneumonia, designed to characterise functional outcomes and to provide a biobank for translational immunological research. Methods Adults admitted with CAP to a single NHS district general hospital were enrolled within 24 hours of admission between December 2020 and March 2022. Clinical, functional, and physiological data were collected at enrolment, hospital discharge, and 6-8 week follow-up. Serial blood samples were collected for flow cytometry, transcriptomics, pathogen DNA detection, and plasma biobanking. Results Forty-seven patients were enrolled (15 without and 32 with sepsis [SOFA >=2] at enrolment); 87% met sepsis criteria by 24 hours post enrolment. Most patients (30/47, 64%) were managed as COVID-19, microbiologically confirmed in 27. Mean age was 57 years (SD 16), 70% were male, and baseline comorbidity burden was low. Severity was moderate (median NEWS2 4 at enrolment, rising to 6 by 24 hours post enrolment; p<0.001). Mortality was 4/47 (8.5%), with 44/47 (94%) alive at hospital discharge. Median length of stay was 8 days (IQR 5.5-11). Translational samples were collected from the majority: fresh flow cytometry (44/47, 94%), transcriptomics from the sepsis subgroup (31/32, 97%), pathogen DNA sampling (35 samples received across study timepoints; see Table 5), and stored plasma (29/47, 62%). The primary outcome of functional decline (Barthel score decrease >=1.85) occurred in only 1/29 patients with paired assessments (3.4%). Persistent CRP elevation (>3 mg/L) at 6-8 week follow-up was present in 16/31 (52%) survivors with available data. Conclusions The PARIS cohort provides a well-characterised clinical platform and linked biobank to support translational studies of pneumonia and sepsis. The low rate of functional decline reflects the younger, lower-comorbidity, COVID-predominant population recruited. Primary protocol endpoints were not achieved owing to pandemic-related disruption. Data and samples underpin a programme of linked translational studies.

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Elevated BrainAGE precedes cognitive impairment and improves prediction of future cognitive decline

Moradi, E.; Dahnke, R.; Gaser, C.; Rikkonen, T.; Kroger, H.; Vaananen, S.; Solomon, A.; Sund, R.; Tohka, J.

2026-07-17 health informatics 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358150 medRxiv
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Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) derived brain age varies substantially between individuals, but it remains unclear whether early deviations from normal brain ageing precede future cognitive decline and whether they provide predictive value beyond conventional MRI measures. Here, we investigated whether MRI-derived brain age gap estimation (BrainAGE) identifies early structural brain ageing differences among cognitively normal individuals who later develop mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or dementia. We analysed longitudinal structural MRI data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) and replicated the main findings in the population-based Kuopio Osteoporosis Risk Factor and Prevention Study (OSTPRE). Individuals who later converted to MCI or dementia had higher BrainAGE values several years before diagnosis and, in ADNI, showed steeper longitudinal increases than stable individuals. Elevated BrainAGE values were also associated with increased risk of future conversion to MCI in cognitively healthy individuals and faster subsequent memory decline. Cross-sectional differences and the association between BrainAGE and risk of future conversion were replicated in OSTPRE. Importantly, adding BrainAGE to models including demographic, APOE4, cognitive, and MRI-derived measures consistently improved prediction of future cognitive outcomes, with the greatest benefit observed for individuals who converted after longer follow-up. These findings show that structural brain ageing begins to diverge years before the onset of MCI. BrainAGE captures this early divergence, providing complementary information beyond conventional structural MRI measures that may improve the early identification of cognitively normal individuals at increased risk of future cognitive decline when integrated with other biomarkers.

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Muscle proteins in plasma associate to distinguished phenotypes in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

Azizi, L.; Aksoylu, I.; Bueno Alvez, M.; Foucher, J.; Juto, A.; Seitz, C.; Press, R.; Samuelsson, K.; Kläppe, U.; Uhlen, M.; Edfors, F.; Bergström, S.; Fang, F.; Nilsson, P.; Öijerstedt, L.; Manberg, A.; Ingre, C.

2026-07-16 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26357727 medRxiv
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Background: Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a neurodegenerative disease characterized by death of upper and lower motor neurons, usually presented with clinical heterogeneity. Fluid biomarker development remains dominated by neurofilament light chain (NEFL), a marker of neuroaxonal injury. NEFL is however unspecific to ALS and its phenotypes and there is currently a lack of biomarkers that capture ALS heterogeneity such as onset site and ALS-frontotemporal spectrum disorder (ALS-FTSD). Therefore, we investigated whether plasma proteomics could reveal pathway-level signatures that stratify and explain ALS heterogeneity. Methods: We profiled ~5,400 plasma proteins (Olink Explore HT) in 299 patients with ALS and 50 age- and sex comparable healthy controls. We used two complementary analytic frameworks: (i) differential protein abundance analysis to identify altered proteins in ALS and across clinical subgroups, and (ii) weighted gene correlation network analysis (WGCNA) to identify coordinated protein modules and relate them to ALS diagnosis and to ALS-specific clinical traits (site of onset, ALS-FTSD, ALS functional rating scale-revised (ALSFRS-R) score, and plasma NEFL). Results: Differential abundance analysis identified 56 proteins altered in ALS versus controls, of which 40 were increased. WGCNA identified 11 co-expression modules, with ALS samples having the strongest correlation to a protein module (n=51) highly enriched for muscle-related proteins. Out of the 40 proteins that had increased expression levels, 29 overlapped with the muscle-enriched protein module, indicating that muscle related proteins are the dominant circulating proteomic signature in ALS. This signal extended to clinical stratification: spinal-onset patients showed a strong positive association with the muscle-module. Further, differential abundance analysis of spinal- versus bulbar-onset ALS identified changes that mapped predominantly to the same module, supporting a molecular signature of onset phenotype. In contrast, cognitive status (ALS-FTSD) mapped to distinct modules enriched for extracellular matrix/cell-adhesion pathways, consistent with a separable biological axis of disease heterogeneity. Although multiple modules correlated with NEFL, trait-specific signatures were not fully explained by neuroaxonal injury. Notably, the muscle-enriched module increased with higher NEFL and lower ALSFRS-R, supporting its interpretation as a severity-linked, muscle-involvement proxy. Conclusions: Large-scale plasma proteomics reveals that heterogeneity in ALS reflects underlying biological structures. We identified a dominant muscle-associated protein network that distinguished ALS patients from controls and correlated with disease onset phenotype and severity, alongside distinct protein networks linked to ALS-FTSD. By integrating differential protein abundance with network-based analysis, we defined pathway-level biomarker signatures that extend beyond NEFL, enabling biologically informed patient stratification and improved therapeutic monitoring.

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Curation of Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) Scores in the VA Million Veteran Program (MVP): Applications for Cognitive Aging Research

Lopez, F. V.; Gillis, M.; Lee, S.; Sakamoto, M. S.; Zhang, R.; VA Million Veteran Program, ; Sherva, R.; Logue, M.; Merritt, V. C.

2026-07-16 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358064 medRxiv
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Background: Electronic health record (EHR)-linked biorepositories provide opportunities to advance epidemiological research in Alzheimer's disease (AD) and related dementias. Objective: Evaluate the extraction, curation, and associative validity of Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) scores from the VA EHR for participants in the VA Million Veteran Program (MVP). Methods: The sample (N = 49,555; 7.4% women) included a multiethnic cohort (European [68.3%], African [20.4%], Hispanic [9.0%]) with EHR-extracted MMSE scores; 30.7% were apolipoprotein E (APOE) {epsilon}4 carriers, and 25.8% had multiple scores. Linear regressions examined cross-sectional associations between {epsilon}4 dosage (0, 1, 2) and first and lowest MMSE scores. MMSE scores were also evaluated against MVP dementia diagnostic algorithms in participants aged [&ge;]65 years. Results: Among participants of European ancestry, there was a significant {epsilon}4 dose-response relationship (ps < .001) with MMSE scores. Homozygote carriers scored lower than heterozygote carriers (Mdiff: first = -0.5; lowest = -0.9), who scored lower than non-carriers (Mdiff: first = -0.4; lowest = -0.6). Among Veterans of African and Hispanic ancestry, no dose-response relationship was observed, although {epsilon}4 carriers had lower scores than non-carriers (ps [&le;] .04). MMSE scores corresponded strongly with dementia case/control status across phenotypes: mild impairment on the MMSE was strongly associated with AD (odds ratio [OR] = 11.48), with more severe MMSE impairment showing stronger associations (moderate OR = 17.95; severe OR = 27.83). Conclusion: This study demonstrated MMSE scores can be systematically extracted and curated from the VA EHR. Findings offer a scalable framework for future studies on risk stratification, highlighting the potential for harnessing MVP to explore genetic and clinical factors contributing to cognitive and dementia outcomes in diverse samples.

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Suicide after cancer diagnosis among older adults: A nationwide study from Austria

Stolz, E.; Schultz, A.; Poetz, E. L.; Smolle, A. M.; Watzka, C.; Jagsch, C.; Niederkrotenthaler, T.; Erlangsen, A.

2026-07-16 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358049 medRxiv
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ABSTRACT Background: Onset of cancer is linked to psychological distress and cancer is prevalent in older adults. Yet, the association to suicide is scarcely examined. The aim of this study was to assess whether cancer diagnosed in older adults is associated with suicide incidence. Methods: All older adults (65+ years) who lived in Austria in the years 2014-2021 (n=2,175,134) were followed. Of these, 223,932 were diagnosed with a new cancer. We used non-parametric survival models with inverse-probability-treatment weights to compare risk ratios (relative risk) and risk differences (absolute risk) of older adults with and without cancer. Results: Out of 2,158 suicide deaths, 442 (20.5%; 83.7% males) occurred among older adults with a new cancer diagnosis. The incidence rate was 74 among those with a new cancer diagnosis versus 23 per 100,000 person-years among those with no new cancer. One year after being diagnosed, older adults with a new cancer had a 4 times higher relative risk of dying by suicide compared to those without. The risk was highest within the first three months after diagnosis and for cancers with a poor prognosis (disseminated disease; lung, oesophagus, stomach, liver, pancreas, and brain cancers). The absolute risk of dying by suicide within 5 years after cancer diagnosis was 0.18% versus to 0.11% among those with no new cancer. Discussion: Older adults who received a new cancer diagnosis had elevated suicide risks. Provision of support to cope with mental distress should be considered at cancer diagnosis, especially for older adults with a poor prognosis.

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Implementation of a standardized Video-based Asynchronous Neurological Examination (VANE) in a multi-center observational study of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and AD related dementias

Noble, J. M.; Nadkarni, N. K.; Martinez, D.; Temprosa, M.; Bowers, A.; Carmichael, O.; Doherty, L.; Febres, G. J.; Sanchez, D. L.; Goldberg, T. E.; Sherif, H.; Shah, V.; Luchsinger, J. A.; DPP Research Group,

2026-07-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357456 medRxiv
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Introduction: The Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study (DPPOS) is an established cohort of aging persons with pre-diabetes and type 2 diabetes with 25 years of median follow-up. In 2022 DPPOS added Alzheimer's disease (AD), and AD related dementias (ADRD) phenotyping using the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center (NACC) Uniform Data Set (UDSv3), which included a standardized neurological examination across 25 clinical sites, administered by clinical staff and interpreted centrally by clinicians. Methods: A DPPOS video-based asynchronous neurological examination (DPPOS-VANE) was developed iteratively through consensus from research clinicians and staff feedback to harmonize with UDSv3 to identify common neurological diagnoses aside from dementia including diabetic cranial neuropathies, stroke and parkinsonism. DPPOS-VANE was designed to be conducted without direct participant contact by the examiner, reproducible, and independent of clinical skills of PCs. An iPad camera recorded the video exam, comprised of assessments of extraocular and facial movements, visual fields, speech, gross motor strength, pronator drift, praxis and parkinsonism. A 10-minute training video demonstrated the examination step-by-step with scripts and instructions in English and Spanish. Site-specific performance review, feedback, and staff certification preceded central reading of video recordings by physicians. After two years of implementation, 1286 DPPOS-VANEs led to 1284 examination reviews. Of these, 1204 (93%) were completed by having the examiner follow the standard script. Overall, 1237 examinations (96%) were delivered as planned, 41 (3%) had minor errors but were still usable, and 6 (0.4%) had major deviations in exam technique; two additional recorded evaluations were not usable as recorded videos were inaccessible due to technical errors. Each examination was completed within 10-15 minutes. Each site on average completed 51.4 examinations (range 14-92). Discussion: Engaging 55 research staff across 25 sites and 3 physician-reviewers, this study is the first to demonstrate feasibility of a VANE as an efficient neurological examination model enabled by commonly used devices. Such a multisite standardized VANE represents a novel paradigm for large epidemiological studies.

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Tumor-Colonizing Microbiota Distinguish Early- and Late-Onset Colorectal Cancer in a Hispanic/Latino Patient Cohort

Manjarrez, S.; Diaz, F. C.; Carranza, F. G.; Waldrup, B.; Ninova, M.; Velazquez-Villarreal, E.

2026-07-21 oncology 10.64898/2026.07.19.26358429 medRxiv
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Background: Early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC) is increasing globally, particularly among Hispanic/Latino (H/L) populations, yet the contribution of tumor-colonizing microbiota to age-associated colorectal cancer (CRC) biology remains poorly understood. Most microbiome studies have focused on fecal communities or non-Hispanic populations, leaving the intratumoral microbial landscape of H/L patients largely unexplored. Methods: We performed an exploratory characterization of tumor-colonizing microbiota using whole-exome sequencing (WES) data from four primary colorectal tumors obtained from H/L patients treated at City of Hope, including two EOCRC (<50 years) and two late-onset colorectal cancer (LOCRC; [&ge;]50 years) cases. Following removal of host-derived sequences, microbial taxonomic profiling was conducted at the family, genus, and species levels, and microbial metabolic pathways were inferred. Clinical and pathological data were integrated to evaluate age-associated differences in microbial composition and predicted function. Results: Family-, genus-, and species-level analyses consistently demonstrated greater microbial diversity in LOCRC than EOCRC. LOCRC contained more than twice the number of unique bacterial families, nearly three times as many unique genera, and more than twice as many unique bacterial species. A conserved core microbiota, including Fusobacteriaceae, Prevotellaceae, Fusobacterium, and Prevotella, was identified across both age groups, whereas LOCRC was enriched in CRC-associated taxa including Fusobacterium nucleatum, Bacteroides fragilis, Parvimonas micra, Porphyromonas asaccharolytica, and Dialister pneumosintes. Species-level analyses revealed only a single shared bacterial species between EOCRC and LOCRC, indicating progressive microbial divergence with increasing taxonomic resolution. In contrast, functional profiling identified 11 predicted microbial metabolic pathways, of which nine were shared between age groups, two were unique to EOCRC, and none were exclusive to LOCRC. Core metabolic pathways involved in energy metabolism, amino acid biosynthesis, phospholipid metabolism, and central carbon metabolism exhibited comparable abundance across both groups, demonstrating substantial functional conservation despite pronounced taxonomic differences. Conclusions: Tumor-colonizing microbiota differ markedly between EOCRC and LOCRC in H/L patients, with late-onset tumors exhibiting substantially greater microbial richness and taxonomic complexity. Despite these compositional differences, microbial metabolic functions remain largely conserved, supporting the concept of functional redundancy within the colorectal tumor microenvironment (TME). Although exploratory, this proof-of-concept study provides one of the first characterizations of intratumoral microbiota in H/L EOCRC and establishes a foundation for larger multi-omics investigations aimed at identifying microbiome-based biomarkers and therapeutic targets for precision oncology.

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Single-cell gene programs define subtype identity and metastatic trajectories in renal cell carcinoma

Madrigal, A.; Kim, M.; Mehrjoo, Z.; Nishimura, T.; Saatci, O.; Osakwe, A.; Zavacky, E.; Moslemi, E.; Glennon, K. I.; Dankner, M.; Maritan, S. M.; Kuasne, H.; Pilon, V.; Monast, A.; Soytas, M.; Arseneault, M.; Oikonomopoulos, S.; Harutyunyan, A.; Lu, T.; Rayes, R.; Soto, L. M.; Hernandez-Corchado, A.; Spicer, J. D.; Petrecca, K.; Siegel, P.; Park, M.; Ragoussis, J.; Sahin, O.; Brimo, F.; Tanguay, S.; Riazalhosseini, Y.; Najafabadi, H. S.

2026-07-16 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.07.14.26357682 medRxiv
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While extensive cellular heterogeneity in renal cell carcinomas (RCC) is linked to diverse clinical outcomes, our understanding of this diversity is limited to those driven by clonal patterns or activity of canonical pathways. Here, we present a compendium of over 85,000 single-cell gene expression profiles from primary and metastatic tumors as well as patient-derived models across four RCC subtypes, including the rare clear cell papillary renal cell tumors, which we show are often misclassified and for which we identify CASP14 as a highly sensitive and specific biomarker. We dissect malignant cell variation within and across tumors using a generative modeling framework that accounts for clonal and copy number-driven expression shifts, defining 59 gene expression programs that deconstruct canonical pathways into functional submodules with divergent activity patterns, distinct regulators, and differential association with clinical outcomes. Despite the canonical view that VHL-deficient clear cell RCC exists in a constitutive pseudohypoxic state, we show strong intra-tumor variability of a hypoxia inducible factor 2 (HIF2)-driven program linked to poor outcome. We also identify early, spatially organized activation of a complete epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EMT) program, loss of epithelial identity, and upregulation of protein translation programs as key characteristics of metastatic progression. Finally, a metastatic signature capturing cellular de-differentiation and translational activity identifies primary tumors associated with adverse clinical outcomes. Together, this resource establishes a framework for dissecting malignant cell heterogeneity, refines RCC subtype classification, and defines transcriptional programs underlying metastasis progression.

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What Do Persistent Misclassifications Tell Us About Alzheimer's Disease Detection using Structural MRI?

Stark, D.; Shin, H.; Muenster, N.; Federmann, L.; Ritter, K.; Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative,

2026-07-20 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.17.26358326 medRxiv
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Deep learning classifiers applied to structural MRI (sMRI) have achieved high performance in detecting Alzheimer's Disease (AD), yet systematic investigation of their failure modes remains limited. In this study, we trained two deep learning architectures to classify AD from cognitively normal (CN) participants using sMRI data from the ADNI dataset, and examined whether misclassifications persist across models and training configurations. We identified a subgroup of subjects who were persistently misclassified across 100 model instances, and found that these subjects exhibited a markedly different atrophy subtype distribution compared to correctly classified AD cases, with substantial enrichment of hippocampal-sparing and minimal atrophy subtypes. To disentangle whether persistent false negatives (FN) reflect earlier disease stage or atypically presenting disease, we analyzed longitudinal follow-up scans and tested whether model predictions changed as neurodegeneration progressed. A change in prediction (from FN to true positive (TP)) was observed in only a subgroup of subjects and required intervals of up to five years, suggesting that persistent misclassification may not always be explained by disease staging alone. Although the sample size is small, these findings underscore the importance of accounting for disease heterogeneity in the development and evaluation of clinical AI models for AD detection.